Intermodal Spot Rate Pricing Trendline Analysis
Weekly discussion and analysis on the trends in the intermodal spot rate market.
The InTek intermodal spot rate index increased 3.4% from the prior week.
For the week of October 13, 2020, domestic intermodal spot rate index:
- Up 3.4% from prior week.
- Up 53.6% from 90 days ago.
- Up 67.6% from prior year.
Lane Stats: 26.7% increased, 27.6% decreased and 45.7% went unchanged.
YTD 2020 volume continues to shrink its YTD deficit with it being down only 5.7% from prior YTD.
Breaking the volume down by equipment, TOFC is down 9.0% and COFC is down 5.4%.
It is interesting to see the TOFC volume deficit improving, as it is typically the last segment of 53' capacity to be affected in any freight recovery.
By region, volume is down 5.5% in the US, down 5.0% in Canada and down 10.8% in Mexico.
Mexico continues to fall back in its year-over-year perfromance, while the US and Canada continue to improve.
Comparison of Truckload to Intermodal Spot Rate
The national truckload spot rate increased 1.2% last week, as reported by the DAT Trendline Report.
Domestic 53' intermodal spot rates increased 0.9% (on a weighted average mileage basis) from the prior week.
Diesel Fuel Comments:
The EIA reported average diesel fuel price of $2.395 per gallon this week, which is up $0.008 per gallon from the prior week.
The diesel price per gallon is down $0.656 or 21.5% from the same period last year.
Both WTI and Brent oil price per barrel is up roughly $0.85 versus last week with WTI and Brent trading in the range of $41.10 and $43.40, respectively.
The EIA's October 2020 diesel price average price projection is $2.55 per gallon for calendar year.EIA's most recent projection for oil:
- WTI - $38.76
- Brent - $41.19
The full spreadsheet of the historical weekly price moves of diesel full can be found at https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/.
Intermodal Spot Rate Trend Graphs
53' Domestic Intermodal Price Index & Diesel Fuel Prices
Variance to January 1, 2013 Baseline
Rolling 52 Year-over-Year Comparison - 53' Domestic Intermodal and Diesel Fuel Prices
Rolling 52 Year-over-Year % Change - 53' Domestic Intermodal and Diesel Fuel Prices
53' Domestic Intermodal and Diesel Prices Quarter-Over-Quarter Comparison